So about two and half years ago, I wrote a blog post that was deleted when I switch hosting companies.  In that post, I wrote about the next revolution that is would be coming. Some of my thoughts can be found here. Here I will try to rewrite it, but in a summarized version. If I find the original post on my old computer, I will be sure to post it in its entirety.  Two years ago, I wrote that we are approaching the next revolution. We had the industrial revolution and people were saying in the early 1900’s that the next one was the knowledge worker.  Now some are saying different things, see here.  They were close when they said knowledge worker. The knowledge worker signaled the beginning of the next revolution. The next revolution will be the DIY revolution, which is what I said 2.5  years ago.  I said that what would need to happen in order for this revolution to happen would be that we, the atari generation, would need to take over the political system. I believe this may be happening with Obama. In order to take it over though, we needed to take control of a few things. First, we need to have control of the media, which I stated 2.5 years ago was happening with blogs and other social networks. We have seen that with fall of printed media, and to some extent television.  We now spend more time online than watching television. I now think twitter maybe the item that kills all news, television and print. So checkoff controlling the media, as that is almost finished. We need to obtain power (politics), which we might be able to check off now that we Obama.  Though, I am disappointed, as my prediction was that the democrats would have gone with Hillary, thus forcing Obama to run independent and I had him winning as an indie.  Don’t get me wrong I am an Obama fan, I voted and raised a little money for him.  It may be that Obama isn’t our political takeover man/woman.  He may need to fail for us to elect a true independent person to takeover politics, but that is yet to be seen. Jury is still out (as I don’t like the bailing out of the big 3 and the financial institutions).   Bailing out of any company is stopping our progress of the next revolution.  Though, if the bailouts don’t work then that is the signal that we are in the next revolution. Oh, and we need to control the money, which you see happening with the shift of future wealth happening. Peer to peer lending will continue to grow and we may see more and more banks fail.The DIY revolution, I think I may have called it something else in my lost post, would be lead by the knowledge worker. The knowledge workers would realize, why let some business use our skills to make things for them, which we can make ourselves.  This means startups will no longer be startups.  Soon startups will be so many that they will just become business as usual or another business. Before I said it was the redistribution of wealth, which may not have been the correct term. It may still be the redistribution of wealth or just redistribution of a good living.  Instead of say 10 people making $250,000 a year we will see 25 people making $100,000 a year. Instead of the big 6 we will have the medium 20.  I think we see this pattern with VC’s.  Before we had VC’s investing in a few startups with billions of dollars, now in round two we have them investing in more startups with less money. With the financial issues we are now having this may change even more.  VC’s are struggling. Just like with knowledge workers taking their own show on the road, those investing in VC funds will take their money on the road, as well. Everything is being micro-sized because we are doing things ourselves. Thus, DIY.   As I said 2.5 years ago, things are once again becoming crafts or trades.  All careers may become a trades, which may lead to mentoring as choice instead of education being important. In my lost post, I think I even went so far as saying that we would become a more localized economy. We would buy our produce from local farms. The prices would of course be higher, but that is what happens in local/ DIY economies.Two and half years ago, if you would have asked me how soon I think it would happen I would probably would of told you 10 to 20 years away. I think this is happening sooner than I predicted. With the collapse of the financial market, auto, and soon to be airlines and many others it could be as soon as 2009. Though I don’t want to jump the gun. The drama dumbass 2.0 guy disagreed with me and even wrote a post about me stating that the rich are getting richer and that I am way off.  I wonder what he thinks about this now as those industries that create and maintain the wealth are folding.    So what do I see happening in the future and how to prepare?  You will see more and more of industries being divided and the revenue being spread among many many players not just a the Big “insert number here”. Newspapers is one segment that will be gone or undergo so much change you won’t recognize it anymore. At most, newspapers will be a printed version of Digg.  I guess Mark Cuban says newspapers would stay around and be more profitable. Link here.

UPDATE: Chicago Tribune’s parent company is filing for bankruptcy. A couple of others are trying to leverage their assets.  Now that I think about it maybe Drama 2.0 is Cuban.

 I think Cuban is an idiot, by the way. See his recent financial blunders and trading away Nash and other players, he doesn’t know how to run a basketball team.  So, I guess we will see who is right over the next 10 years, me or Cuban. How to prepare.  Find a trade, start a business alone or with some like minded people now.  So when you get laid off.  Don’t get a job. Start a business doing what you use to do, and compete against your last employer. Depending what industry your in its probably easy to get 5 or 10 people from your last job, who have been laid off, and you could all start a business doing the same thing you all were before, in a smarter way and steal customers away. I read a great quote/passage from a book the other day that went something like this. If you ask the best chest player you know to play for money ($1000) a game, but the rules were that your opponent moves first, and for every move he/she makes you can make two, you will always win. Even if you give up some pieces. It is in reference to small startups or in this case new businesses. Small businesses can move quickly and twice as fast. Post is here. Anyway, where was I?  Sorry, ADHD kicking in there.  Oh, so all industries will be microtized  and filled with DIY.  Yes, our economy will suffer for a while until things shake out and the new lines are drawn.   It may be tough, but we are all just ants and we will plug on and things will work themselves out.  

So to recap:1. In order to get control we need to take control of the media, CHECK.2. We need to take control of politics, POSSIBLE CHECK (Obama or his immediate successor). Controlling this is a result of controlling the media.3. We need to control the money, POSSIBLE CHECK (Prosper; peer to peer lenders banks failing). 

 Obama was elected with mostly small personal funds, and by using this new media (yes he did use old as well). So we may be there already.  Maybe I can hold out hope that Obama will switch to independent in 4 years or less. I do think things are falling into place.  Oh, one more good thing about the DIY revolution is no more false economies that the republicans like so much.  If we can get people to buy a rock with with a face painted on it, for $100.00 then do it. Or let the housing prices go up, keep pushing them up, we don’t care we are making money.  In DIY, you get what you see, I hope!  Again, I hope to find my old post, I may have it in word form on a USB drive. I will post it if I can find it.  

UPDATE: In my last post I also wrote about how wrong those futurist are who say, biotechnology is the next revolution. Revolutions aren’t about a certain technology or mechanics its about the people.  Yes, the industrial revolution was brought on by manufacturing and mechanics, but its the people, their skills and trades, that made it a revolution.  In all the revolutions we have had all things have changed, but people/workers are the one constant.  

UPDATE: Found the first half of my original post.  Here. 

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